Grant Bishop

Tuesday, 10 November 2026 · Markets closed · Edition 20

The Index

Every company we follow, and why.

294 companies, placed on the frame: what each sells, which claim it bears on, what it has disclosed, and when it reports next. No prices. A map, not a quote board.

Browse by question

AI compute
Who makes the chips, and the tools to make them?Who builds and equips the data centers?Who supplies the power?Who supplies the rebuilding of defense?Whose economics did the 2025 tax law change?Who holds data the public web cannot reach?How are financial firms changing with AI?Who may gain as AI spreads through other businesses?Whose business is AI itself?
Metabolic medicine
Who makes the new weight-loss drugs?Who supplies the making and delivery of the drugs?Whose sales may the drugs shrink?Whose sales may the drugs grow?Whose care and services may the drugs change?Which businesses must adjust as their customers change?Who carries the drugs to markets outside the United States?Whose science sits close to the new drugs?Who works on longer, healthier lives?
The rest of the frame
Who mines and refines the minerals under the build?Who runs the new settlement rails?Who is taking AI into machines?Who launches, and who builds in orbit?Who holds the hard assets?

Browse by claim

Each House View claim names what would prove it wrong. These are the companies whose disclosures do the proving.

This inflation is coming from broken supply, not from too much money. While it lasts, owning the broad market is not the hedge our earlier views assumed.

8 companies · review 2026-11-30 · see them

The summer sell-offs on beat-and-raise reports are the market paying less for earnings, not the businesses failing. They reverse when the price of money stops rising.

40 companies · review 2026-11-20 · see them

Spare rented computing capacity moves work around; it does not cancel new power and cooling construction, which follows capital spending, not chip scarcity.

55 companies · review 2026-11-15 · see them

Candidate claim: windfall oil revenue in the Gulf is flowing into government-backed AI infrastructure, which is why that demand has separated from the rented-compute market.

no company in the Index tests it yet · review 2027-02-28

The Warsh Fed tightens into this inflation rather than looking through it, and the pressure on stock prices from the rising price of money continues at least through year-end.

no company in the Index tests it yet · review 2026-12-10

Spending on the AI build is running ahead of the revenue it produces.

28 companies · review 2027-02-28 · see them

Businesses keep adopting AI, but the economy-wide productivity lift does not arrive before 2028.

154 companies · review 2027-12-31 · see them

What reports next

Scheduled disclosures across the Index, soonest first, and the claim each one can move.

This week
Hesai · results, quarter to Sep 202610 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
Nebius · results, quarter to Sep 202610 Nov* · tests The deployment gap
Oklo · results, quarter to Sep 202610 Nov* · tests Merchant surplus does not cut new power build
Ascendis Pharma · results, quarter to Sep 202611 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
On Holding · results, quarter to Sep 202611 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
Absci · results, quarter to Sep 202612 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
Next week
BellRing Brands · results, quarter to Sep 202617 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
Disney · results, quarter to Sep 202617 Nov* · tests The lift broadens slowly
* expected, per Nasdaq; otherwise announced by the company or on the issuer's schedule. The full calendar →

Newest on the Index

19 Oct 2026   Two entries withdrawn: their latest filings are more than 15 months old.
19 Oct 2026   Every entry rewritten in plain words: what the company sells, and why we follow it.
14 Oct 2026   Constellation Brands and Molson Coors returned to the Index after their entries were rewritten.
13 Oct 2026   Constellation Brands and Molson Coors withdrawn while their entries were rewritten.
12 Oct 2026   298 companies verified against their latest filings at launch.

How the Index is made

Each entry is checked against the company's own description of its business in its latest annual filing. An entry changes only with a dated note on its page. The Index is a map of what each company sells and where it sits in the frame; it carries no prices, no ratings and no calls.

Machine-readable: /index.json · /index/VRT.json